Which area would most likely experience severe thunderstorms based on risk forecasts?

Open plains with warm fronts moving in are often associated with the development of severe thunderstorms. This is primarily due to the dynamics involved when warm, moist air from the plains is lifted by cooler air associated with the warm front. As the warm air rises, it cools and condenses, leading to the formation of clouds and precipitation.

Furthermore, the flat terrain of the open plains allows for unobstructed wind flow, which can enhance the lifting processes necessary for thunderstorm development. In addition, this area typically has higher humidity levels that contribute to convective activity, increasing the potential for severe weather, including thunderstorms and possibly tornadoes.

In contrast, coastal regions with low humidity may not provide sufficient moisture for storm development. Mountainous terrain with cooler temperatures can inhibit the necessary rising air needed for storm formation. Hilly areas with stable air are typically characterized by less vertical development, making them less conducive to severe thunderstorm formation. Therefore, the open plains with incoming warm fronts represent the most favorable environment for experiencing severe thunderstorms.